| The two
primary approaches of analyzing currency markets are fundamental
analysis and technical analysis. Fundamentals focus on financial
and economic theories, as well as political developments to
determine forces of supply and demand. Technicals look at price
and volume data to determine if they are expected to continue into
the future. Technical analysis can be further divided into 2 major
forms: Quantitative Analysis: uses various statistical properties
to help assess the extent of an overbought/oversold currency,
Chartism: which uses lines and figures to identify recognizable
trends and patterns in the formation of currency rates. One clear
point of distinction between fundamentals and technicals is that
fundamental analysis studies the causes of market movements, while
technical analysis studies the effects of market movements.
Fundamental analysis comprises the
examination of macroeconomic indicators, asset markets and
political considerations when evaluating a nation’s currency in
terms of another. Macroeconomic indicators include figures such as
growth rates; as measured by Gross Domestic Product, interest
rates, inflation, unemployment, money supply, foreign exchange
reserves and productivity. Asset markets comprise stocks, bonds
and real estate. Political considerations impact the level of
confidence in a nation’s government, the climate of stability and
level of certainty.
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